A new Survey USA poll shows Republican Congressman Brad Finstad with a nine-point lead over Democratic challenger Jeff Ettinger, 46-to-37, in the First Congressional District in southern Minnesota.   Carleton College analyst Steven Schier says it could signal a significant shift in a district that used to be competitive for Democrats:

“An area of Greater Minnesota where (Democratic) Governor Tim Walz traditionally did his best does not look good for Democrats right now, and that could have an impact on statewide races.”

…such as governor, attorney general, secretary of state and auditor.   Schier says the Second Congressional District, immediately north and covering exurban areas plus part of the Twin Cities south suburbs, is a national bellwether, with many millions of dollars from outside Minnesota being spent on the race.   The latest poll shows basically a tie between Democratic Congresswoman Angie Craig and Republican challenger Tyler Kistner.